OPINION polls continue to paint a mixed picture as the General Election campaign draws to its conclusion – with Theresa May’s lead ranging from within a single point to a double-digit cushion.
A Survation poll had the two parties almost neck and neck as voters prepared to cast their ballots while ICM gave the Tories a comfortable 12-point lead.
FINAL CALL #GE2017 CON 41.3 LAB 40.4 LD 7.8 UKIP 2.4 SNP 3.6 PC 1.7 GRE 2.3 OTH 0.5 SAMPLE SIZE 2798 F/W 6-7TH JUNE
— Survation. (@Survation) June 7, 2017
Survation’s final pre-election survey put the Tories on 41.3% with Labour on 40.4%, the Liberal Democrats on 7.8%, SNP on 3.6%, Ukip on 2.4% and the Greens on 2.3%
ICM’s preliminary findings in a poll for the Guardian put Mrs May’s party on 46%, up one point compared to a poll on Monday, with Labour unchanged on 34%.
A sneak peek at ICM's final poll of this election, showing a 12-point lead for the Conservatives over Labour.
Full poll out later #GE2017 pic.twitter.com/Ns1Whl64KE
— ICM Unlimited (@ICMResearch) June 7, 2017
The Lib Dems were down one point on 7%, the SNP up one on 5%, Ukip unchanged on 5% and the Greens down one on 2%.
A ComRes poll for The Independent gave the Tories a 10-point lead over Labour.
Our final poll of GE2017 – the Conservatives lead Labour by 10 points https://t.co/bJANOkV1IW pic.twitter.com/fE6bV8h6zF
— ComRes (@ComRes) June 7, 2017
The poll had the Tories down three points on 44%, Labour down one point on 34%, the Lib Dems up one on 9%, Ukip up one on 5%, the SNP on 4% and the Greens on 2%.
Half of 2015 Ukip voters say they will now vote Conservative, potentially adding two million votes, or around 6% points to the Tory vote share.
The Liberal Democrats are losing voters to both major parties, with two-fifths of their 2015 voters saying they will now either vote Labour (22%) or Conservative (19%).
But with Kantar Public the Tory lead was just five points, with the Conservatives on 43%, Labour on 38%, the Lib Dems on 7% and Ukip and the SNP both on 4%.
A YouGov poll for The Times put the Tory lead on seven points, with the Conservatives on 42%, Labour on 35%, the Lib Dems on 10% and Ukip on 5%.
Latest poll from YouGov says the Tories will be 24 short of a majority, with Labour just 33 seats behind – RT if you know this isn't over pic.twitter.com/oydZX05kaV
— NHS Million (@NHSMillion) June 7, 2017
On Wednesday, the Press Association’s poll of polls, taking in 10 results from the past week, put the Conservatives on 44%, seven points clear of Labour on 37%, with the Liberal Democrats on 8%, Ukip on 4% and the Greens on 2%.
Survation interviewed 2,798 adults by telephone between June 6 and 7.
ICM Unlimited interviewed a representative online sample of 1,532 adults between June 6 and 7.
ComRes interviewed 2,051 GB adults online between June 5 and 7.
Kantar interviewed 2,159 GB adults online between June 1 and 7.
YouGov surveyed 2,130 GB adults between June 5 and 7.
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